Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000115 0.000121 0.000129 0.000137 0.000146 0.000157
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000108 0.000117 0.000129 0.000143 0.000158 0.000178
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000101 0.000113 0.000128 0.000145 0.000166 0.000195
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000098 0.000111 0.000128 0.000150 0.000177 0.000215
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000096 0.000111 0.000130 0.000156 0.000190 0.000240
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000091 0.000107 0.000128 0.000156 0.000194 0.000252
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000087 0.000102 0.000123 0.000152 0.000193 0.000258
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000083 0.000098 0.000120 0.000151 0.000194 0.000266
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000078 0.000093 0.000115 0.000145 0.000189 0.000264
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000077 0.000093 0.000115 0.000148 0.000197 0.000284
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000077 0.000093 0.000117 0.000153 0.000209 0.000312
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000076 0.000093 0.000118 0.000157 0.000219 0.000338
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000076 0.000094 0.000121 0.000164 0.000235 0.000381
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000074 0.000092 0.000120 0.000164 0.000241 0.000405
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000071 0.000090 0.000118 0.000164 0.000244 0.000426
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000070 0.000089 0.000119 0.000168 0.000256 0.000467
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000070 0.000089 0.000120 0.000173 0.000272 0.000525
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000068 0.000087 0.000118 0.000171 0.000273 0.000544
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000065 0.000084 0.000114 0.000166 0.000268 0.000542
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000063 0.000082 0.000111 0.000164 0.000266 0.000552
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000061 0.000078 0.000107 0.000157 0.000255 0.000532
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000107 0.000160 0.000266 0.000583
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000109 0.000165 0.000283 0.000661